Intervention Ledger · Delhi

World-first capability

Did Delhi’s emergency measures actually work?

The first operational, weather-adjusted, ward-by-ward audit of whether GRAP stages cut pollution, and what acting earlier would have saved. Every number carries a confidence interval. Every date cites a CAQM order. When a stage shows no effect, we say so.

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Deweathered signal

Raw vs weather-normalized PM2.5 over the GRAP window

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Causal audit

Did each stage work? Event-study with placebo tests

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Where it worked

Per-ward weather-adjusted effect

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What if we acted sooner

Counterfactual timing

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